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TFN eNews 08/28/2009: Which Swine Flu Vaccine stock just produced 70% gains?

Published via e-mail broadcast on August 28, 2009

In today’s TFN eNews:

* TFN free pick generates 30% gains in one week

* But HSC members did better, with 70% gains in the same period

* Natural gas just hit 7-year lows…

Dear TFN Reader,

The market is dragging itself toward positive territory as I write. We’re awaiting its arrival, a champagne cocktail in hand.

We intend to pay for with the tab with gains from last week’s swine flu pick Sinovac Biotech Ltd. (AMEX:SVA).

You remember, we picked SVA and two other stocks for our TFN Special Report: The Top Swine Flu Vaccine Stocks under $20.

We’re clinging to our other picks:

Vical Inc. (NASDAQ:VICL) — up 21.78% — and Dr. Reddy’s Laboratories (NYSE:RDY) is up a paltry +2.35% (but better than nothing!)

Heck they have to wait until someone has actually created that vaccine to take it generic!

But I decided to lock in our 30% on SVA. Just so you know.

*** But if TFN eNews readers did well, our TFN Hot Stock Confidential members did even better.

Pig flu protagonist CelSci Corp (AMEX:CVM) simply took off in the last couple of days.

This kind of thing always puts me in a quandary. By nature, I’m a “glass half empty” kind of guy. Suspicious. Cynical. With no trust in good fortune, hope, and change. Then there’s the old say of “No-one has ever gone broke taking a profit.”

But: “Wrong,” my father-in-law once said. Plenty of people have gone broke taking their gains too early.”

Then again, I’m just as greedy as the next guy. I had recommended CVM on August 20 as a “Buy under $0.55.”
Today, we were suddenly up 70% on our entry level. Even if they bought “up to $0.55″, as I had recommended, HSC members were sitting on gains of 30%-plus.

This could be a moon shoot! And it might just plop back down.

I hesitated for just a bit, then sent out my Sell Alert: “Let’s take our money and run!”

You know me by now: I’m a model of modesty and understatement. I never brag. But this is double-digit gainer #50 for Hot Stock Confidential Members this year! The average gain on winners and losers (now at 5 winners for every 1 loser) is 19.1%.

And if we were to compute our “cumulative gains” they way our colleagues at other newsletter publishing companies do, we could brag about 1,168% gains. But we don’t.

Quite honestly, I have no idea why you’re not part of our membership yet…

Then again, this situation is easily remedied: Simply follow this link for our quickest access to our current open positions!

*** Last week, ALSO on August 20, we included TFN eNews reader Annie P.’s “Echo Boom” pick in our TFN Reader Grapevine Penny Stock Pick: Nuvilex Inc (NVLX) in our daily offerings.

NVLX caters to bar flies of all ages. It makes a hangover cure. They also have a cream that makes scars less visible in case you fall down the stairs and require stitches. And they sell an easily removable tattoo ink, for those days when you wake up with the first name of a strange girl tattooed across your forehead.

Yesterday, the company kicked off its campaign to promote its Last Shot Hangover Remedy video commercial. It will start airing on August 31: “The video is a part of the company’s emerging Last Shot brand awareness campaign that will ultimately include television, radio, Internet, cinema spots, billboard, print and point-of-sale advertising.”
Ja, ja.

Good enough to catapult trading volume up to over 2 million shares… and push share prices up 25% to $0.035… and to $0.044 today.

Clearly, this falls under the category of “speculative trading” rather than investing… as all good penny stocks do.

Let’s see if the campaign creates the expected amount of sales. Why wouldn’t it… the academic year starts in a few weeks!

*** “The divergence between crude and natural gas prices is a conundrum investors are scrambling to figure out,” writes TFN’s resident market strategist Andrew Snyder today.

“The commodities market looks like it never has before. Thanks to a weak dollar, uneven global growth patterns, and more government intervention than ever before, the world’s miners and drillers are facing an industry like none has ever been forced to endure.

“The action is driving traders bonkers, especially those that track the natural gas markets. The huge quantities of gas buried beneath the earth’s surface offer a shot at clean, cheap energy. But it seems like nobody wants anything to do with the stuff.

“After surging to incredible prices last year, the natural gas market fell flat on its face to seven-year lows yesterday as word spread that inventories are hitting levels even higher than the pessimists called for. Natural gas inventories are going to be 100% full later this year. Yet drillers are tapping their freshly drilled shale deposits as if somebody actually wants the stuff.

“Who’s going to win? The drillers betting that demand will pick up this winter? Or the growing pack of bears saying we’ve not even come close to the bottom of the market?

“As you read this, I am up to my receding hairline in my latest industry report, which will detail exactly what is going on and who will win, no matter what happens this winter…”

What’s going on behind Andy’s receding hairline? (He looks downright shaggy compared to me!) Find out right here…

Quote of the Day:

“No small part of the current confusion between ‘health care’ and medical care comes from failing to recognize that Americans can have the best medical care in the world without having the best health or longevity because so many people choose to live in ways that shorten their lives. There can be grave practical consequences of a dogmatic insistence on external explanations that allow individuals to escape personal responsibility. Americans can end up ruining the best medical care in the world in the vain hope that a government takeover will give us better health.”

– Thomas Sowell, Creators.com

Recommended Reading:

A chart worth studying: Natural gas vs. crude prices

TFN Special Report: The Top Alternative Energy Stocks Under $6

The Top Swine Flu Vaccine Stocks under $20

The 3 Best Chinese Stocks Under $5!

Today’s Top 3 Financial News Stories:

Bloomberg.com U.S. Consumer Spending Climbs on ‘Cash for Clunkers’ “The 0.2 percent gain in purchases was in line with forecasts and followed a 0.6 percent increase in June, the Commerce Department said today in Washington. Incomes were unchanged, causing the savings rate to decrease.”

Newsmax.comConservatives Fear Democrat-Hyped ‘Kennedy Effect’ to Push Obamacare Into Law “Kennedy’s allies have made no secret, Politico reports, of their hopes that his legacy will serve to bolster the uncertain health reform plan, with Sen. Robert Byrd, D-W.Va., even suggesting naming the bill for Kennedy”

news.cnet.com Bill would give president emergency control of Internet “Internet companies and civil liberties groups were alarmed this spring when a U.S. Senate bill proposed handing the White House the power to disconnect private-sector computers from the Internet. They’re not much happier about a revised version that aides to Sen. Jay Rockefeller, a West Virginia Democrat, have spent months drafting behind closed doors. CNET News has obtained a copy of the 55-page draft (excerpt), which still appears to permit the president to seize temporary control of private-sector networks during a so-called cybersecurity emergency. The new version would allow the president to ‘declare a cybersecurity emergency’ relating to ‘non-governmental’ computer networks and do what’s necessary to respond to the threat. Other sections of the proposal include a federal certification program for ‘cybersecurity professionals,’ and a requirement that certain computer systems and networks in the private sector be managed by people who have been awarded that license.”

Cordially yours,

J. Christoph Amberger

Executive Publisher, TodaysFinancialNews.com


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