Blog > News that Matters > Cheap date: 99 Cents Only Store (NYSE:NDN) hits 52-week high
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Cheap date: 99 Cents Only Store (NYSE:NDN) hits 52-week high

Today's Financial News - Posted November 11, 2008

Consumers are changing the way they spend money. Some investors are taking advantage of the changes by purchasing shares of 99 Cents Only Store (NYSE:NDN).

By Andrew Snyder, TodaysFinancialNews.com

Baltimore – (TFN): With the economy eroding at an alarming pace, it is no wonder investors are turning away from their former retail haunts filled with trendy, over-priced items.

Stores like Whole Foods (NASDAQ:WFMI) and Trader Joes are watching their customers head to low-cost competitors like Wal-Mart (NYSE:WMT) and Safeway (NYSE:SWY).

It is no surprise to see an ultra-cheap retailer like 99 Cents Only Stores (NYSE:NDN) climb its way to the sole spot on the list of companies reaching 52-week highs today. The global economic crisis has actually been the best thing to happen to the company’s share price in a long time.

The rationale behind the positive run is obvious. When the economy is in the gutter, consumers have less money to spend on the things they need. So they go to the cheapest retailer they can find.

A wino’s delight

When we need a toothbrush, why spend $4.99 on a fancy name-brand brush when you can get one for less than a buck?

Or how about cleaning supplies? Or stationary? 99 Cents Only even sells bottles of wine at its namesake prices.

Of course, 99 Cents Only is not the only ultra-cheap retailer doing well these days. Dollar Tree (NASDAQ:DLTR) and Family Dollar (NYSE:FDO) are both multi-billion dollar companies making their investors money over the past few months.

While these companies may appear as an oasis in a desert of losses, investors need to use caution. All three stocks have gotten a lot of attention lately and are becoming overpriced.

For example, after more than doubling its share price since July, 99 Cents Only has a price-to-forecasted-earnings ratio of over 30. If the next earnings report misses expectations by only a small margin, shareholders could be in for a sizeable drop.

Granted, sales have increased over the past three months and are likely to surge even higher during this quarter, but the competition is catching up. Traditional retailers, which are often slow to react to economic waves, are finally making moves to target consumers during a recession.

Eye-catching sales and incentives are drawing cash-conscious consumers back into retail stores. Beyond that, ultra-discounters do not offer all the products consumers require. They will still head to the more-expensive “big box” stores for their needs.

Consumers are changing their habits, leading savvy investors to follow. Track the trends and invest appropriately and you could be one of the traders celebrating a 52-week high today.


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Posted by Andrew Snyder · Filed Under News that Matters, US Stocks and Markets 

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